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18 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.0%
LNZ Cherkasy
29.1%
Draw
12.0%
Rukh Vynnyky

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

LNZ Cherkasy

vs
0.44

Rukh Vynnyky

Markets

BTTS26.6%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.553.3%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.510.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
22.3%
0-0
17.2%
2-0
15.1%
1-1
10.3%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-1
3.0%
4-0
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
0-2
1.7%
2-2
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).