Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.2%
Leeds
16.3%
Draw
6.5%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Leeds
vs
0.57
Preston
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
3-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.7%
4-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.9%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
0-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).