Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Hamburg
26.8%
Draw
27.5%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Hamburg
vs
1.22
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).