Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Cheltenham
24.9%
Draw
50.3%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Cheltenham
vs
1.52
Colchester
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).