Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.8%
Lorient
10.9%
Draw
7.3%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Lorient
vs
0.81
Amiens
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
7.5%
1-0
7.0%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
4.9%
5-0
4.6%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).