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AHT: 02CSV

02 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Inverness C
32.1%
Draw
33.0%
Partick

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Inverness C

vs
1.16

Partick

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.2%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).