Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Almeria
21.0%
Draw
20.8%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Almeria
vs
1.14
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).