Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Alcorcon
31.4%
Draw
35.6%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Alcorcon
vs
0.98
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.6%
0-1
14.6%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).