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21 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Solihull
28.0%
Draw
42.1%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Solihull

vs
1.45

Southend

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).