Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.8%
Aldershot
15.8%
Draw
70.4%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Aldershot
vs
2.99
York
Markets
BTTS70.6%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.580.7%
Over 3.562.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
1-4
5.9%
0-2
5.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
2-3
5.3%
0-4
4.4%
2-4
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
1-5
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).