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AHT: 10CSV

20 Apr 2024 · 12:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.8%
Oldham
26.4%
Draw
17.8%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Oldham

vs
0.83

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).