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AHT: 10CSV

30 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Westerlo
25.1%
Draw
33.4%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Westerlo

vs
1.45

Waregem

Markets

BTTS62.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).