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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.1%
FC Koln
33.4%
Draw
17.5%
Takeley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

FC Koln

vs
0.49

Takeley

Markets

BTTS24.8%
Over 0.578.8%
Over 1.545.1%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.57.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
22.8%
0-0
21.2%
2-0
11.7%
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-0
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
0-2
2.6%
3-1
2.0%
2-2
1.4%
4-0
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).