Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Ajaccio
30.2%
Draw
25.2%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Ajaccio
vs
0.72
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.552.4%
Over 2.526.6%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
0-0
15.7%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).