Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
Hertha
19.9%
Draw
8.6%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Hertha
vs
0.61
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
1-0
13.2%
3-0
10.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).