Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.1%
Port Vale
11.8%
Draw
5.0%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Port Vale
vs
0.49
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
3-0
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
4-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
2.4%
5-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).