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AHT: 00CSV

30 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
Dover Athletic
24.2%
Draw
57.6%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Dover Athletic

vs
1.86

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.3%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-4
3.0%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).