Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Valladolid
21.2%
Draw
64.7%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Valladolid
vs
1.97
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.0%
0-0
6.5%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
4.8%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).