Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Cesena
30.3%
Draw
30.3%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Cesena
vs
1.09
Brescia
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).