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14 Feb 2026 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.7%
Cracovia Kraków
29.7%
Draw
34.7%
Jagiellonia Białystok

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Cracovia Kraków

vs
1.21

Jagiellonia Białystok

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).