Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Bradford
26.9%
Draw
27.5%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Bradford
vs
0.89
Luton
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).