Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Boavista
26.5%
Draw
46.8%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Boavista
vs
1.62
Arouca
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).