Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Crystal Palace
29.8%
Draw
34.4%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Crystal Palace
vs
1.29
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).