Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.6%
Rochdale
21.8%
Draw
10.7%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Rochdale
vs
0.65
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.1%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).