⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 01CSV

16 Mar 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
24.6%
Heidenheim
26.4%
Draw
49.1%
M'gladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Heidenheim

vs
1.63

M'gladbach

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).