Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Waregem
23.6%
Draw
25.8%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Waregem
vs
1.25
Dender
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).