Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Maidenhead
30.6%
Draw
20.2%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Maidenhead
vs
0.75
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).