Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Tottenham
25.3%
Draw
47.4%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Tottenham
vs
1.87
Man United
Markets
BTTS64.8%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.2%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
1-0
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).