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DHT: 10

12 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.8%
Altrincham
18.3%
Draw
8.9%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

2.00

Altrincham

vs
0.52

Hull

Markets

BTTS35.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.3%
2-0
16.0%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
1-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).