Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Ponferradina
25.4%
Draw
26.9%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Ponferradina
vs
1.07
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).