Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Holstein Kiel
28.5%
Draw
41.3%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.43
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).