Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Girona
23.0%
Draw
22.8%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Girona
vs
1.17
Almeria
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).