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29 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Leyton Orient
26.7%
Draw
43.2%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Leyton Orient

vs
1.30

Stockport

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).