Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
West Brom
29.1%
Draw
40.5%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
West Brom
vs
1.35
Derby
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).