⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 00

14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
34.1%
Horsham
15.5%
Draw
50.4%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

3.01

Horsham

vs
3.55

Dorking

Markets

BTTS92.3%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.598.9%
Over 2.595.9%
Over 3.589.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-3
4.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
4.3%
2-4
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
4-3
3.6%
4-4
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
4-2
3.1%
3-5
3.0%
2-5
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).