Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Malaga
25.4%
Draw
23.2%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Malaga
vs
0.94
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).