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HHT: 10CSV

26 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.7%
Antwerp
32.1%
Draw
24.2%
Mouscron

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Antwerp

vs
0.79

Mouscron

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.8%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).