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01 Jul 2020 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.3%
Inter
13.3%
Draw
6.4%
Brescia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.56

Inter

vs
0.58

Brescia

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.2%
3-0
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
5-0
4.0%
0-1
2.6%
2-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).