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16 Aug 2025 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Motor Lublin
27.9%
Draw
31.2%
Piast Gliwice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Motor Lublin

vs
1.24

Piast Gliwice

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).