Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Gil Vicente
22.8%
Draw
27.2%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Gil Vicente
vs
1.44
Estoril
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
3-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
0-0
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).