Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Leganes
37.8%
Draw
32.1%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Leganes
vs
0.72
Alaves
Markets
BTTS25.6%
Over 0.575.8%
Over 1.541.2%
Over 2.517.0%
Over 3.55.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
24.2%
0-1
17.7%
1-0
16.9%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
0-3
1.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-0
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).