Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Sassuolo
19.4%
Draw
12.8%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Sassuolo
vs
0.75
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).