Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Aris
19.7%
Draw
17.9%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Aris
vs
1.03
Monaco
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).