Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Avellino
27.2%
Draw
50.8%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Avellino
vs
1.61
Como
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).