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29 Nov 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.0%
Wrexham
27.1%
Draw
20.9%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Wrexham

vs
0.93

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).