Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Cremonese
27.7%
Draw
18.7%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Cremonese
vs
0.83
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).