Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Norwich
28.3%
Draw
26.4%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Norwich
vs
1.06
Swansea
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).