Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Dunkerque
18.9%
Draw
19.1%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Dunkerque
vs
1.05
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).