Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Sutton
20.9%
Draw
23.4%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Sutton
vs
1.21
Newport County
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).