Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Lugo
28.3%
Draw
54.3%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Lugo
vs
1.33
Granada
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.1%
0-0
14.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).